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Does USMCA protect you from the new U.S. tariffs?

Many Canadian exporters assume USMCA keeps them safe. In 2026 that is only partly true.

Updated October 26, 2026 · By DutyHarbor Advisory, 15+ years running imports and exports across Canada, the U.S. and India

Partly. USMCA still removes the regular duty and the 10% Section 301 tariff, but not the 50% Section 338 duty or the 68 product ban.

What USMCA still does

What it no longer does

Is USMCA itself at risk?

At the July 1, 2026 joint review the U.S. did not agree to renew USMCA in its current form. The agreement stays in force until July 1, 2036 and is now reviewed every year. The parties can still confirm a 16 year extension at any time. The next review is due in July 2027.

What to do

  1. Keep certifications of origin current. On a non listed product they can still save the regular duty and 10%.
  2. Check each product against the Section 338 list.
  3. Model both cases in the calculator: with and without USMCA.

Check what USMCA saves on your product

DutyHarbor shows each U.S. tariff layer for your code and which ones USMCA removes.

Run my product

Questions

Is USMCA still in force?

Yes. It runs to July 1, 2036 and has been reviewed every year since the U.S. declined to renew it at the July 1, 2026 review.

Do USMCA goods pay Section 338?

Yes. Goods eligible for USMCA treatment still pay the 50% Section 338 duty if their code is on the list.

When is the next USMCA review?

July 2027.

Sources

This guide is general information, not legal or customs advice. Confirm your product code, origin and duty with a licensed customs broker before you act.